Building the Forecast Dataset
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Every strong forecast starts with well-structured source data.
What's in the Dataset
The file contains 1,500 rows of order-level transactions spanning three full years (2022–2024), across 5 regions, 5 product categories, 4 sales channels, and 3 customer segments. Each row represents one order and records 21 fields:
Why This Structure Matters for Forecasting
A well-designed dataset gives forecasting models three things they depend on:
- Granularity — row-level detail lets you aggregate any way you need: by month, by region, by channel, or any combination;
- Consistency — every row uses the same 21 columns, so
SUMIF,SUMIFS, and PivotTable formulas work reliably across all 1,500 records without exceptions or workarounds; - Time anchoring — having Order_Date, Year, Quarter, Month, and Month_Number already present means you can build time-series analyses immediately, without extra wrangling.
Note
Always keep your raw data untouched on a dedicated sheet. Do all cleaning, KPI calculations, and analysis on separate sheets so you can always trace back to the original source.
Task: Explore the Dataset
Goal: Get fully oriented in the workbook before touching any formulas.
- Open Business_Performance_Data.xlsx and navigate to the main data sheet.
- Press Ctrl+End to jump to the last used cell — confirm you land on row 1501 (header + 1,500 data rows) and column U.
- Click cell A1, then press Ctrl+Right to hop across all 21 column headers. Read each name and match it to the table above.
- In a blank cell, type
=COUNTA(A:A)-1to verify the row count programmatically. It should return 1500. - Select the full dataset and press Ctrl+Shift+L to enable filters. Use the filter dropdowns to explore the unique values in Region, Product_Category, Sales_Channel, and Customer_Segment.
- In a blank cell, enter
=SUM(O:O)and note the total revenue figure — you'll use this as a cross-check throughout the course.
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セクション 1. 章 1
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