DCF Money Printing Machine Example
Imagine a business (the machine) that produces predictable cash flows: $50,000 per year for five years. A naΓ―ve approach might value the machine at $250,000 ($50K Γ 5). But this ignores a foundational principle in finance: money today is more valuable than money tomorrow.
The time value of money (TVM) tells us that each future $50,000 payment must be adjusted (discounted) based on how far in the future it arrives. This adjustment reflects opportunity cost, risk, and inflation.
If we assume a discount rate of, say, 10%, the DCF would look like this:
DCF=(1+0.10)150,000β+(1+0.10)250,000β+β―+(1+0.10)550,000β
You'll see that each year's cash flow is worth less in today's dollars. The total DCF will be less than $250,000.
This technique allows you to compare investments or business opportunities that may have the same total return but very different timing profiles.
Think of it like this: would you rather get $50,000 now, or in five years? Most people choose "now"βbecause they could invest, use, or save it today. DCF helps capture that preference numerically.
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DCF Money Printing Machine Example
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Imagine a business (the machine) that produces predictable cash flows: $50,000 per year for five years. A naΓ―ve approach might value the machine at $250,000 ($50K Γ 5). But this ignores a foundational principle in finance: money today is more valuable than money tomorrow.
The time value of money (TVM) tells us that each future $50,000 payment must be adjusted (discounted) based on how far in the future it arrives. This adjustment reflects opportunity cost, risk, and inflation.
If we assume a discount rate of, say, 10%, the DCF would look like this:
DCF=(1+0.10)150,000β+(1+0.10)250,000β+β―+(1+0.10)550,000β
You'll see that each year's cash flow is worth less in today's dollars. The total DCF will be less than $250,000.
This technique allows you to compare investments or business opportunities that may have the same total return but very different timing profiles.
Think of it like this: would you rather get $50,000 now, or in five years? Most people choose "now"βbecause they could invest, use, or save it today. DCF helps capture that preference numerically.
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