Building an Assumptions Sandbox
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In this chapter, you build the foundation of your forecasting model.
You create a single place where all key inputs and variables are stored, so the rest of your calculations can reference them.
Start by creating a clean table with your main inputs.
Include values such as subscribers, pricing, costs, and projected changes. This table becomes the base for all future calculations.
Keep it simple and readable so you can adjust values easily later.
Extend the table with calculated values.
For example, add a proposed price and a churn percentage that changes based on pricing. Ask Copilot to generate the formula, then review how it works.
Next, calculate projected profit based on your assumptions.
Copilot can generate the formula, but you must verify the logic. In forecasting, small mistakes can lead to incorrect results.
If the formula combines percentages incorrectly, adjust it.
Make sure growth and churn are applied step by step, not added together. This keeps the model realistic and prevents incorrect projections.
You can guide Copilot with more precise instructions to fix the formula.
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